CHAUSUI BALL TALK

21/1/2006 Saturday Nite Fever Picks

2006-01-21T00:10:00.000-08:00

1. Troyes -1/4 (French League) **
2. Zaragoza -1/4 **
3. Arsenal -3/4 **
4. Lazio -1 **
5. Chievo (Fair game) **

19/1/06 Copa Del Ray & Portugese Pick

2006-01-19T08:27:00.000-08:00

Tonite's pick

1. Deportivo +0 (Win Full)

10 men Deportivo could still manage to snatch a 1-0 win over Valencia. I have got this feeling that the match have been rigged. Most people when looking at Deportivo down to 10 men in the first half would have "jalan" Valencia to score one goal and win. Yet the outcome was totally different as Depor scored to lead 1 nil in the first leg of the Copa Del Ray match. Congrats to allw who took Depor, better luck for Valencia supporters.

2. Braga -3/4 (Lose Full)

Wasted match. Braga missed a penalty on the 83rd minute. Otherwise they would have won the match 1-0.

3. Braga Tg 2 Under (Win Full)

As I have mentioned in my preview for Braga, take under 2 to cover for Braga in case the match ended as draw. Looks like my prediction was correct. The match ended a scoreless draw. More predictions hopefull for tonite. :)

Good luck everyone. For review click below:
Deportivo Review
Braga Review

18/1/2006 - Italian Seria A Picks

2006-01-18T07:39:00.000-08:00

aAfter doing my research, I came to 2 conclusions:

1. Juventus -3/4 ** (Lose Full)
2. Livorno -0 ** (Draw)

Good Luck to all and most importantly Have A Good Nite sleep. Need a good rest tonite, I have not been sleeping well the past few days. I have read picks from some other punters and looks like alot of punters are taking:

1. AC Milan -1 3/4 (Prediction correct, AC Milan did not meet handicap)

I do not doubt that AC Milan is able to score two goals againts Ascoli. But I prefer to skip this match since I am not having a good run with handicap -1 3/4 matches. The risk are higher for this match and only those who are really confident of AC Milan should bet on this. Their form has not been good these few games and if I am not mistaken, two of their back four are not playing. So a possible result could be 2-1.

Quote: These are just my personal opinions. Take only as reference k.

Nitez everyone.

16/1/2006 Rebound Picks

2006-01-16T05:13:00.000-08:00

Rebound picks for the night.

1. Larisa -3/4 *** (Win Half)
2. Setubal Tg Under 2.5 ** (Change to Over 2 1/4) (Lose Half)
3. Boavista +1/4 ** (Win Full)
4. Helmond Sports To Win * (Lose Full)
5. Bastia -0 ** (Win Full)

Will update the rest later.

Good luck to all. :)

TQ.

15/1/2006 Final Picks - Final Results

2006-01-15T05:25:00.000-08:00

Inter -1 3/4 *** (Lose Full)
Nacional -1 ** (Lose Full)
Porto -3/4 *** (Lose Full)
PSV -1 1/2 ** (Lose Full)
Barca -1 3/4 ** (Lose Full)
Real Madrid -3/4 ** (Win Full)
Udinese -1/2 ** (Lose Full)

Final Picks for all matches. Confirmed. Good Luck to all. :)

This is the worst results I have had so far. Well I believe most punters also suffered heavy losses last night especially those who follow the Asian Handicap. Well as they say, we can always predict correctly. Hope to rebound back tonite in the Greece, French Div 2 and Holland Div 2 leagues.

15/1/2006 Holland Pick

2006-01-15T02:26:00.000-08:00

Fayenoord -1/2 **

Post this first since the match is starting in 1 hours time.

FULL TIME
Vitesse Arnhem 0 - 1 Feyenoord Rotterdam
Result : Win FULL

14/1/2006 Picks Not As I Expected

2006-01-14T12:00:00.000-08:00

Sorry about not posting my picks in advance today. Did not have the time to post my picks. My picks arent that outstanding today. At least if you followed, you probably only lose "water" money.

1. Man Utd -3/4 **(Lose Full)
2. Fulham -1/4 ***(Win Full)
3. Leeds -3/4 **(Lose Full)
4. Sheffield United -1/4 **(Lose Half)
5. Jalan Arsenal Tg 5.5 Over **(Win Full)
6. Reading -1 1/4 **(Win Full)
7. Akmaar -1 ***(Leading 0-2 at 78min - Still Playing as of posting)
8. Waalwijk -1 3/4 **(Leading 1-0 at 48 min - Still Playing as of posting)

Lets hope that the outcome for the two dutch matches would be good. Will post my selection for tomorrow's game. Confirm latest post will be at 8.00pm.

13/1/2006 French Division Two Picks

2006-01-13T05:15:00.000-08:00

SEDAN - ISTRES (2 star)
Take : Sedan -1

AMIENS - MONTPELLIER (1 1/2 star)
Take: TG Under 2 1/4

REIMS - CHATEAUROUX (1 1/2 star)
Take: TG Under 2 1/4

Most likely will not be betting on Wolves Vs Luton. Too close call. If for fun pick, I will take Wolves -1/2.

Good luck every one. :)

2006-01-10T07:52:00.000-08:00

Chausui Ball Talk is now listed in Soccer-picks.com.
Yippie....

Palermo vs Bari

2006-01-10T07:29:00.000-08:00

Its only the 69th Minute and I am looking at the score at 5-3. First half ended 2-1 and not after 24 minutes of the second half, already 5 goals have been entered. Looks like there is more to come for this match. I predict the match would end with a one goal difference. Heavy bets on Palermo giving one ball. There would be at least two more goals to come in this match. Lets see if I am correct. :)
Updated10/1/2006 11.33pm.

FT Result
Palermo vs Bari
Results : 5 - 4

As predicted the match ended with one goal difference. :-)
Updated 10/1/2006 11.58pm.

10/1/2006 ENGLISH LEAGUE 1 FUN PICKS

2006-01-10T07:14:00.000-08:00

1. Barnsley(8) vs Gillingham(19)
My Pick : Barnsley -0.5 ** (2 star pick)
Predicted Score : 2-0
Winning Chances : Source A - 53%
Source B - 85%

FULL TIME RESULTS:
Barnsley vs Gillingham --> 1-0 (Win Full)

2. Swansea(2) vs Milton Keynes Dons(24)
My Pick : Swansea -1 ** (2 star pick)
Predicted Score : 2-0
Winning Chances : Source A - 53%
Source B - 92%

FULL TIME RESULTS:
Swansea vs MK Dons --> 3-1 (Win Full)

For your information
If Source A predicts matches which are more then 70%, the probability of winning is very high.
If Source B predicts matches which are more then 80%, the probability of winning is very high.
1 * star pick - For fun or not so confident bet, based on personal feel.
2 ** star pick - Confident pick
3 *** star pick - Very confident pick, chances of winning very high.

9/1/2006 Only One Pick

2006-01-09T06:46:00.000-08:00

Tonite my only pick would be:

Sedan vs Clermont
This is a French Division 2 league match between Sedan rank number 1 vs Clermont rank number 18. With the Asian Handicap at Sedan -1, it would be a good choice to take Sedan for tonite. Never losing at home, I believe Sedan can win the game. Even if by one goal, we still would not lose anything for the Asian Handicap. If Sedan wins by 2 goals, then it would be jackpot for tonite.

My final pick : Sedan -1

Good luck and have fun....cheers....

NEW UPDATE

Sedan vs Clermont
Final Score: 3-0

Updated 8.51 am 10/1/06

8/1/06 Post Mortem

2006-01-08T23:41:00.000-08:00

Sunday was a busy day for me. There was no time for me to post my picks. This post is just to do a post mortem on my picks for Sunday.

Sunday's Picks
1. Inter Milan -1 ** (Lose Full)
2. AS Roma -1/4 * (Win Full)
3. Celta Vigo -1/2 ** (Win Full)
4. Osasuna -3/4 ** (Lose Full)
5. Real Madrid -- * (Draw)
6. Valencia -1/4 ** (Lose Half)
7. AC Milan -1 3/4 ** (Lose Full)
8. Porto -1 ** (Draw)

I did a pretty extensive research on all the teams above and was confident with the 6 two star picks. (Highest most confident would be a three start pick, and not so confident pick/for fun pick would be one star)

Yet I guess the outcome was not what I expected.
1. Inter Milan failed to score given the number of chances they have. In truth they could have at least score 2 goals. Luck was on Siena's side with them escaping with a 0-0 score line.

2. Roma secured a 1-o win over lowly Trevisio. I had not much confident for Roma when they play against teams at the lower bottom of the league. Looking at Roma's stats, you can see that they don't play well against lousy team (most draws and losses). Yet yesterday was a surprising result. Well in truth I chose Roma because I followed an advice from a friend who contributes alot to the research I do. :)

3. Celta Vigo as expected won the match. I don't think I can comment as I did not get the chance to watch the match.

4. Osasuna was a let down as I did not expect them to draw at home against Racing Satander. I learnt my lesson though from this match. I should have calculated the percentage for both of these teams. Its been a while since I included my calculated percentage into my research. Doing my post mortem today, I tried to calculate the percentage of winning for both Osasuna and Racing. The outcome was only a small difference in percentage for both teams. In addition to that, Racing did win against Real Madrid at the Bernebau. Looks like I have overlooked certain factors here and the outcome: A Loss for me.

5. Real Madrid was just a gut feeling pick from me. If you have noticed, their form seems to be returning and a draw game against Villareal away is in fact a good result for both Real Madrid and me. :)

6. Valencia was a let down. I was pretty confident they would win against Ath Madrid. With 19 of Ath Madrid players still recovering from a mysterious illness, Valencia should be able to grab a win here. Yet it turned out to be a disappointing draw for Valencia. It must be just one of those unlucky days for Valencia and me.

7. AC Milan, scoring four goals and conceding 3 against Parma. What have I got to say. Milan with a strong defensive record at home concedes three goals against Parma. I really do wonder if the match already "Kelong". Two goals coming in at the last 10 minutes would be a profitable night for the bookies as most would have Jalan TG under for this game. Leaky defense for Milan should be the main concern in my next research. Perhaps the absense of Stam in that game was the reason Milan conceded 3 goals.

8. I was confident that Porto would win, especially when they are playing at home. Judging from the solid home record, I was never hesitant about choosing Porto when the odds were at -1. I am sure they would win, its just a matter of how many goals. Well the game ended win a 1 nil win for Porto and a draw game for me.

To sum it up, it was not a good nite for me. We all can do research yet the outcome may not always be what we predict. A 2 game lost for me last nite plus some water money. Will take a rest tonite since there a no big matches scheduled tonite.

Will be back again in 2 days time. This time hope that luck together with a research would bring better outcome for me.

Cheers everyone....

7 January 2006 Picks

2006-01-06T09:08:00.000-08:00

Dont have time to post long reviews. Only can post my picks for tonight. Quite confident on Nacional pick. :)

1. Doncaster +1/4
2. Nacional +3/4

Hope Win Tonite.

Judging from the odds movement for the Doncaster match, I have a bad feeling that the match outcome may not be what I expected it to be. It seems that Easybets is only paying 1.75 for Doncaster win (clearing handicap). This goes to show that Doncaster is the clear favorite to win the match later. Yet when odds become too heavy, thing start to go the opposite direction. It could be that the match result have been predetermined earlier by the bookies. Lets hope that tonite's Doncaster-Port Vale match would be a fair battle, free from the so called external disturbances.

I have seen one too many times where once the odds for a certain drop below 1.7. Once this occured, the result would always lead to the winner with the 2.0 odds winning the match. Firstly though this is only my observation for the past few months. I certainly hope tonite's game would bring me more returns.

Napoli Vs Grosseto

2006-01-05T07:45:00.000-08:00

OMG! The match ended 1-1. Grosseto scored at the 90th Minute. Damn fishy outcome especially with Napoli having a very good home stats. Most people would say that the match have been fixed from the start. I had that feeling too when I was bathing and my friend told me that Napoli scored as early as the 7th Minute. Always had this instinct that if teams are to score early then the outcome would be the opposite. Another good example was the Celta Vigo match early this morning. They scored early but the match ended as a draw.

At times I wonder if the match have been rigged from the start. Yet football is football, lets not have rigging ruin us and keep us from enjoying a good game. As for those who took Napoli today, sorry that you all lost money. I almost took Napoli, but didn't go through. I guess I was lucky.

For those who took agains Napoli, good pick and good instinct for selecting against Napoli. Lets hope for better outcome in the Auxerre vs Monaco match and hope that my prediction come true.

Cheers to all....

5 January 06 : Auxerre vs Monaco

2006-01-05T06:20:00.000-08:00

Tonite will be taking:

Have done research on it. Base on tips from 3 website:
Website 1
Auxerre 74.13% (Win)
Monaco 8.66% (Win)
The Draw 17.21%
Predicted Score :
Auxerre 2 Monaco 1

Website 2
Auxerre 50% (Win)
Monaco 21% (Win)
The Draw 29%
Predicted Score :
Auxerre 1 Monaco 0

Website 3
Auxerre 38% (Win)
Monaco 26% (Win)
The Draw 36%
Predicted Score:
Under

Stats for both Teams
Auxerre
Monaco

Comments
It look like a very close game for both teams.
For Monaco

Sun. 6	Final	PSG	0 - 0	Monaco	43,555	French Ligue 1
Sat. 19	Final	Monaco	1 - 0	St Etienne	16,234	French Ligue 1
Thu. 24	Final	Monaco	2 - 0	Hamburg SV	18,000	UEFA Cup
Sun. 27	Final	Marseille	2 - 1	Monaco	52,000	French Ligue 1
Wed. 30	Final	Slavia Prague	0 - 2	Monaco	12,540	UEFA Cup
Dec. '05	STATUS	HOME	SCORE	AWAY	ATT.	COMPETITION
Sat. 3	Final	Monaco	2 - 0	Le Mans		French Ligue 1
Sun. 11	Final	Nantes	0 - 0	Monaco	28,000	French Ligue 1
Thu. 15	Final	Monaco	2 - 1	CSKA Sofia	9,279	UEFA Cup
Sun. 18	Final	Monaco	1 - 0	Toulouse	9,107	French Ligue 1

From the above stats you can see that Monaco is not strong away in the French league. Draw with Nantes and PSG while losing to Marseille. This means that agains top teams like Marseille, it could be a possibility that Monaco can lose or draw. Winning chances are slim.

As for Auxerre

Sun. 30	Final	Auxerre	2 - 0	PSG	22,000	French Ligue 1
Nov. '05	STATUS	HOME	SCORE	AWAY	ATT.	COMPETITION
Sat. 5	Final	St Etienne	1 - 1	Auxerre	33,005	French Ligue 1
Sat. 19	Final	Auxerre	3 - 2	Lille		French Ligue 1
Fri. 25	Final	Le Mans	0 - 2	Auxerre	10,347	French Ligue 1
Dec. '05	STATUS	HOME	SCORE	AWAY	ATT.	COMPETITION
Sat. 3	Final	Auxerre	4 - 0	Nantes		French Ligue 1
Sat. 10	Final	Marseille	1 - 0	Auxerre	51,000	French Ligue 1
Sat. 17	Final	Auxerre	0 - 1	AS Nancy Lorraine

From the above stats, Auxerre has defeated PSG(2-0), Lille(3-2), Nantes(4-0) but lost to Nancy (0-1) at home. They are capable of defeating top teams, and with a convincing win of 2 goals over PSG, Auxerre certainly looks tough playing at home.

All in all, I favor Auxerre, with a strong home record of playing 9 home games and winning 7. On the other hand, I predict a low scoring match as Auxerre only conceded 5 goals in 10 home matches while Monaco only conceded 9 goals in 10 away matches. It would be a tight game that could come out as a draw or a win for Auxerre. Yet following the tips from the 3 sites and the stats, my prediction for tonite would be:

My prediction: Auxerre (1-0) Monaco

My punt for this match:
1)Auxerre -1/4
2)Auxerre to win